World Bank Warns of Weakened Global Economic Prospects forecasts
Emerging and developing economies are currently at risk of experiencing rising trade barriers, slow investment and economic slowdowns in the richer nations according to a new report by the World Bank thus making it lower its expectations of the global economic growth for this year.
Although the picture for poorer countries is expected to stabilize in 2020, economic momentum remains weak. In view of the World Bank Group President David Malpass it is therefor very essential to have stronger economic growth that reduces poverty and improves the living standard of the people.
It is also urgent, that countries make significant reforms to improve the climate for business, and attract investment. According to Malpass, they need to make debt management and transparency a high priority so that new debt adds to growth and investment.
From the report, amongst the developed economies, the Euro Area will see the biggest slowdown, due to weaker exports and investment, with growth at around 1.4% in 2020-2021. As for the United States, a growth figure of 2.5% in 2019, will drop to 1.7% next year.
In emerging markets, the projected growth rate of 4% for 2019 represents a four-year low, and several economies are coping with financial stress and political uncertainty. However, a recovery is expected next year, with a forecasted rate of 4.6% for 2020.
The World Bank recommends in the report that these countries need to strike a careful balance between borrowing to promote growth and avoiding risks associated with excessive borrowing.
According to the World Bank Group Vice President for Equitable Growth, Finance and Institutions, Ceyla Pazarbasioglu, while almost every economy faces headwinds, the poorest countries face the most daunting challenges because of fragility, geographic isolation, and entrenched poverty. Unless they can get onto a faster growth trajectory, the goal of lowering extreme poverty under 3 percent by 2030 will remain unreachable.
The warnings from the World Bank come just days after the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs published its mid-year World Economic Situation and Prospects (WESP) report, which finds that all major developed economies, and most developing regions, have weakened prospects for growth.